Daily Spread Betting Tips

Here you will find the best NBA picks as well as parlays for all of today's games. All of our expert NBA predictions are against the spread. (ATS) This page will be updated daily so bookmark this page.

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Washington Wizards vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, 3/10/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Tony Sink - 3/9/2021

The Washington Wizards are set to take on the Memphis Grizzlies at FedExForum on Wednesday, March 10, 2021. Washington opens this game as 1.5-point underdogs. The O/U has been set at 236.5. This matchup report includes odds, betting trends and a free pick against the spread.

Not only do our betting tips football experts post tips across a broad number of leagues and tournaments, but likewise across a broad range of betting markets, with everything from betting tips 1X2, Asian handicap tips, goal totals to first goal scorer, both teams to score, total corners, yellow cards and correct score tips.

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 3/10/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 3/9/2021

The San Antonio Spurs are on the docket to go head to head with the Dallas Mavericks at American Airlines Center on Wednesday, March 10, 2021. San Antonio opens this contest as 5.5-point dogs. The O/U has been set at 220.5. This report includes betting odds and our expert NBA picks for todays game.

Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, 3/4/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Parlay's Pundit - 3/3/2021

The Golden State Warriors are set to take on the Phoenix Suns at Phoenix Suns Arena on Thursday, March 4, 2021. Phoenix opens this matchup as 2.5-point favorites. The total has been set at 223.5. We have included an expert NBA pick and parlay for todays game ATS.

Detroit Pistons vs New York Knicks Prediction, 3/4/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Josh Schonwald - 3/3/2021

The Detroit Pistons are on the docket to meet the New York Knicks at Madison Square Garden on Thursday, March 4, 2021. The spread on this contest has New York as 6-point favorites. The total opens at 223. This matchup report includes betting lines and our pick of the day for this game.

Sacramento Kings vs Portland Blazers Prediction, 3/4/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Tony Sink - 3/3/2021

The Sacramento Kings are scheduled to play the Portland Blazers at Moda Center on Thursday, March 4, 2021. The odds on this contest have Portland as 5-point favorites. The O/U opens at 237. This report has odds and your NBA predictions for todays game against the spread.

Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, 3/4/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 3/3/2021

The Miami Heat are scheduled to meet the New Orleans Pelicans at Smoothie King Center on Thursday, March 4, 2021. Miami opens this contest as 1.5-point dogs. The O/U has been set at 227. This games report has current odds, betting trends, and free picks against the spread.

Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, 3/4/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Parlay's Pundit - 3/3/2021

The Denver Nuggets are set to go head to head with the Indiana Pacers at Bankers Life Fieldhouse on Thursday, March 4, 2021. Denver opens this contest as 2.5-point favorites. The over/under opens at 225.5. We have included an expert pick and parlay for todays game against the spread.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, 3/4/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Josh Schonwald - 3/3/2021

The Oklahoma City Thunder are on the docket to meet the San Antonio Spurs at AT&T Center on Thursday, March 4, 2021. The odds on this matchup have San Antonio as 3.5-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 225.5. This matchup report has Vegas lines and an expert NBA basketball pick for your daily winner.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, 3/4/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Tony Sink - 3/3/2021

The Milwaukee Bucks are scheduled to meet the Memphis Grizzlies at FedExForum on Thursday, March 4, 2021. Milwaukee opens this matchup as 6-point favorites. The total opens at 237. This Matchup report includes Vegas odds and a free basketball pick for tonight.

Los Angeles Clippers vs Washington Wizards Prediction, 3/4/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 3/3/2021

The Los Angeles Clippers are on the docket to play the Washington Wizards at Capital One Arena on Thursday, March 4, 2021. The spread on this game has Los Angeles as 9.5-point favorites. The O/U opens at 231. This report includes betting odds and our expert NBA picks for todays game.

Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics Prediction, 3/4/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Tony Sink - 3/3/2021

The Toronto Raptors are scheduled to meet the Boston Celtics at TD Garden on Thursday, March 4, 2021. The odds on this contest have Boston as 8-point favorites. The over/under opens at 217. This matchup report includes odds, betting trends and a free pick against the spread.

Detroit Pistons vs Toronto Raptors Prediction, 3/3/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Tony Sink - 3/2/2021

The Detroit Pistons are on the docket to meet the Toronto Raptors at Amalie Arena on Wednesday, March 3, 2021. Detroit opens this game as 9.5-point underdogs. The O/U is set at 215. This matchup report includes odds, betting trends and a free pick against the spread.

Utah Jazz vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction, 3/3/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Josh Schonwald - 3/2/2021

The Utah Jazz are set to take on the Philadelphia 76ers at Wells Fargo Center on Wednesday, March 3, 2021. Utah opens this matchup as 1.5-point favorites. The O/U is set at 223. This matchup report includes betting lines and our pick of the day for this game.

Charlotte Hornets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, 3/3/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 3/2/2021

The Charlotte Hornets are scheduled to play the Minnesota Timberwolves at Target Center on Wednesday, March 3, 2021. The line on this contest has Charlotte as 2.5-point favorites. The O/U has been set at 227. This games report has current odds, betting trends, and free picks against the spread.

Chicago Bulls vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, 3/3/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Josh Schonwald - 3/2/2021

The Chicago Bulls are set to meet the New Orleans Pelicans at Smoothie King Center on Wednesday, March 3, 2021. The spread on this contest has New Orleans as 5-point favorites. The O/U is set at 236. This matchup report has Vegas lines and an expert NBA basketball pick for your daily winner.

Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic Prediction, 3/3/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Tony Sink - 3/2/2021

The Atlanta Hawks are on the docket to play the Orlando Magic at Amway Center on Wednesday, March 3, 2021. Atlanta opens this contest as 4.5-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 224. This Matchup report includes Vegas odds and a free basketball pick for tonight.

Los Angeles Lakers vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, 3/3/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 3/2/2021

The Los Angeles Lakers are set to play the Sacramento Kings at Golden 1 Center on Wednesday, March 3, 2021. The odds on this contest have Los Angeles as 6.5-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 231. This game report has an NBA basketball pick, betting odds, and trends for tonights key matchup.

Brooklyn Nets vs Houston Rockets Prediction, 3/3/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Parlay's Pundit - 3/2/2021

The Brooklyn Nets are on the docket to take on the Houston Rockets at Toyota Center on Wednesday, March 3, 2021. Houston opens this matchup as 7.5-point underdogs. The total opens at 233. We have included an expert pick and parlay for todays game against the spread.

Golden State Warriors vs Portland Blazers Prediction, 3/3/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Tony Sink - 3/2/2021

The Golden State Warriors are on the docket to meet the Portland Blazers at Moda Center on Wednesday, March 3, 2021. Portland opens this game as 1-point dogs. The over/under is set at 235. This report has odds and your NBA predictions for todays game against the spread.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 3/3/2021 NBA Pick, Tips and Odds
by Parlay's Pundit - 3/2/2021

The Oklahoma City Thunder are on the docket to go head to head with the Dallas Mavericks at American Airlines Center on Wednesday, March 3, 2021. Dallas opens this contest as 8.5-point favorites. The O/U has been set at 222. We have included an expert NBA pick and parlay for todays game ATS.

Please note that the NBA picks above for tonight's games are not computer based picks. All of these articles are written by our talented staff. If you have any comments or suggestions please email service@docsports.com

NBA Picks

The NBA is considered by many to be the best league for sports betting. Yes, the NFL is king in terms of popularity and wagering volume per game but nothing beats NBA basketball over the course of a season. Why? There are many opportunities to make NBA picks every night. NBA lines move more often and are not as sharp as football lines which are under the microscope all week. NBA odds have a much shorter lifespan meaning there are greater opportunities to find value. That gives Doc's basketball handicappers exponentially more opportunities to offer daily free NBA picks and be even more selective when offering expert NBA picks.

Free NBA Picks and Expert Predictions

You can find Free NBA picks throughout the Doc's Sports network including this free NBA predictions page; on our Doc's NBA Experts page; and on the Youtube channels of our expert NBA handicappers. We now also have a very popular NBA video section that is updated daily with several videos during the NBA season. Check the video link on the top navigation. Those ready to take advantage of our Free $60 in member selections can click the button at the top of this page and start receiving free expert predictions.

Get your NBA Picks Today, and Everyday!

Doc's offers expert NBA picks today and every day of the NBA season! Sure, there are the days when the NBA card consists of only tanking teams competing for the right to draft the next Zion Williamson. These teams are bad and their competition for an audience is Seinfeld reruns or maybe getting an extra hour of sleep. At Doc's we don't see this as trash basketball, we see this as a huge opportunity to make money...on trash basketball. Each day during the basketball season is an opportunity to make valuable and profitable predictions

NBA Picks Against the Spread

Most NBA bettors are going to make NBA picks against the spread. This is also known as NBA picks ATS. Sportsbooks give each NBA team a handicap of X amount of points. That means if books think the Lakers are 4 points better than the Celtics they will offer a line of Lakers -4. If a Doc's handicapper has reason to believe the Lakers are much more than 4 points better, his pick against the spread would be to take the Lakers -4. This is how all bets on the spread work unless bookmakers consider both teams to be evenly matched, in which case the line is a pick, AKA pick'em. At Doc's the majority of our NBA selections are against the spread. However, there can be outstanding value on betting NBA totals.

NBA Over/Under Picks

The pace of the game, as well as which team dictates the pace, is a key factor when handicapping basketball games. When pace is an especially strong signal, it may dictate a pick on the over/under. An NBA over/under pick is another way of referring to a prediction on an NBA game point total. NBA total lines are usually well above 200 in today's NBA making them harder for the betting public to find value. For example, the 2004 Detroit Pistons team was very consistently within 5 points of the 90 they averaged. In today's NBA, greater scoring means greater variance. However, professional basketball handicappers can use this to their advantage as the sportsbooks also try to keep track of the higher scoring NBA totals. Doc's sports NBA total picks are some of the best in the business and our total prediction write-ups are insightful. Along with offering our NBA expert picks, we provide free selections that are intended to help bettors with their handicapping legwork.

NBA Parlay Picks

Parlay picks are sucker bets they say! Never bet and NBA parlay they say! Bettors that speak in these absolutes clearly haven't learned how to find value betting basketball. Sure, the payout on parlays at most sportsbooks have gone down to the point where putting two of your picks together for the sake of winning more is not a good investment. But what if your parlay picks could be made on the same game? That is called a correlated NBA parlay. Many sportsbooks offer the ability to make NBA bets against the spread and total in the same game. So if you have a great read on a game and expect one team to quit and fall behind, you may decide to make an NBA parlay prediction. At Doc's our experts will offer a free parlay pick in rare cases. It is not common because we need to find value for our customers on both lines before they move. If our parlay prediction is indeed on the same game, we need to confirm there is value regardless of the fact that you can't line shop the odds on a parlay. Both bets in a parlay must be made at the same sportsbook. If there is a free selection on the total over of -14 and under 200 it was offered knowing that those lines can be found at most Las Vegas sportsbooks and online.

NBA Playoff Predictions

Once the regular season is over the NBA tends to resemble the national football league in many ways. Bettors have much more time to make their NBA playoff picks as teams travel to each other's arenas and rest between series. Making successful NBA playoff predictions is as much about when you bet as it is who you bet on. A series might not start for days. That means an NBA spread may move quite a few points especially as the public bets closer to the action. If we see value in a playoff prediction it will rely heavily on getting the line we are quoting in said NBA pick. In the words of the great Tony George, 'We are betting numbers, not teams!' That may not be more relevant than when making picks on the NBA playoff games.

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If you place wagers on US sports, then chances are high that you’ve heard of point spreads. Here’s how they work; if a game has Patriots -9.0 and Vikings +9.0, the Patriots are 9.0 point favorites and the Vikings are 9.0 point underdogs. Unless otherwise stated, no matter which team you bet on, you’ll be required to risk $1.10 for each $1.00 you want to win. For Patriots bettors to prevail, they need their team to win by 10 or more points. A 9-point Patriot victory would be a push (a tie). For Vikings bettors to take home the victory, they need to either win the game or lose by less than 9 points.

Point spreads are used since most recreational bettors prefer to wager even money propositions. In the above example, if there was no point spread, only moneyline betting would exist. So, if odds makers are giving the New England Patriots a 73% chance of winning a game, then in order to take bets and still have a small profit margin, the bookmaker would have no choice but to require Patriot bettors to stake $3.00 or more for each $1.00 they want to win.

With a point spread, the odds are balanced, so you usually have to risk just $1.10 to win $1.00. This makes the point spreads appealing to recreational bettors, who often think it’s easy to make money from them. We have to be honest with you; it’s NOT easy, but it IS possible. The strategy we cover in this article should help!

We’ve provided a brief explanation of point spreads in our introduction here, but if you’d like to know more about this type of wager then please read our beginner’s guide to betting point spreads.

Simple Tips for Point Spread Betting

Strategy for betting point spreads is obviously different for each sport and league, but these four tips are general enough to apply to them all.

• Take Advantage of Bonus Offers
• Use Multiple Betting Sites
• Be Careful of Road Favorites
• Understand Key Numbers

Let’s go over each of these tips in a little more detail.

Take Advantage of Bonus Offers

One way to make money from sports betting is to open an account at an online betting site and take advantage of their sign up bonus. This gives you extra money to wager with, and since point spreads are so straightforward, it can be relatively easy to meet the associated wagering requirements and still come out ahead. Repeating this process at multiple betting sites will maximize your potential returns! We just ask that you please stick with reputable sites, like any of the ones that we recommend.

Use Multiple Betting Sites

We already mentioned how using multiple betting sites allows you to take advantage of multiple bonus offers. That’s not the only benefit either. Since point spreads vary between sites, one of the best ways to beat these wagers is to compare the different spreads in order to find which one is the most favorable. This doesn’t take nearly as long as you might think, and it will make a huge difference to your bottom line over time.

Let’s take a hypothetical game between the Buffalo Bills and the New England Patriots as an example. One site might have the spread as follows.

Another site might offer a slightly different spread.

If you’re betting in favor of the Patriots, then you should be betting with Bookmaker A. If the Patriots win by more than seven points, then you’ll win with either bookmaker. However, if they win by exactly seven points, you’ll lose with Bookmaker B. With Bookmaker A, you’ll push and get your stake returned.

On the other hand, if you’re betting on the Bills, then Bookmaker B will be your best option. A Bills loss of exactly seven points would be a push at Bookmaker A, but it would be a win for you at Bookmaker B.

It’s only a half-point difference, and that might not seem like a lot. The bookmakers tend to be very accurate with their spreads though, and an extra half-point in your favor can easily add up to extra profits over time.

Be Careful of Road Favorites

Many novice bettors fail to understand the impact of home advantage when wagering on sport events. When looking at the board for potential wagers, these bettors tend to get excited and bet on lots of superior teams favored on the road against weaker opponents. The betting market is so much more advanced than this, and for the most part point spreads are always going to be 50/50 propositions.

We’re not saying that you should never bet on road favorites. Just make sure that you have good reasons to do so. Keep in mind; they don’t just need to win, they need to win by a greater margin than the spread suggests they will.

Understand Key Numbers

While understanding key numbers is beneficial for betting point spreads on any sport, key numbers are known for having the most significance in football. In NFL football, most games are decided by three or seven points. Therefore, when shopping the odds, the difference between -7.0 and -6.5 is far greater than the difference between -5.5 and -5.0.

With some betting sites odds, certain games are priced differently than risking $1.10 to win $1.00 (which is called -110 odds). For example, you might see the Giants priced at -105 and +7 in a game against the Jets. Now, you only have to risk $1.05 to win $1.00. This is obviously better odds, but it’s very likely that they will lose by exactly seven to give you a push. Taking -110 and +7.5 with an alternative bookmaker is actually the better bet.

Getting your head around these kind of intricacies, as well as knowing the relevant key numbers, is vital if you want to bet on the point spreads successfully.

100% Sure Betting Tips

Now that we’ve got the basic tips covered, we want to provide you with some point spread betting tips specific to two of the most popular US sports: football and basketball.

Point Spread Betting in Football

One of the best ways to beat football point spread betting is to use teasers. A teaser is a form of a parlay bet using modified point spreads. Each point spread you select is moved 6 points in your favor. For example, let’s say you’re interested in betting on the following.

A teaser would give you a single wager with the following spreads.

Each selection is obviously easier to get right with the spread moved in your favor, but you do have to get all three correct in order for your wager to win.

If you want to learn how to beat this form of wagering, you’ll definitely want to read our article on betting football teasers.

Another way to beat football point spreads is to shop for off market prices. For example, let’s say you’re shopping online betting sites and see every site is offering Vikings +7.0. Then, you stumble upon one site that’s offering +7.5. There’s a good chance that this is a +EV wager, simply because it is out of sync with every other site. Please note that this strategy isn’t quite the same as simply shopping for the best lines. Here, you’re specifically looking for wagers that are +EV because they’re against the market.

It’s also important to consider whether or not there’s any correlation between the point spread and the betting total. If they are, a parlay wager is a good way to get maximum value. For example, a college football point spread +24.5 parlayed with under 48 points in the same game might be a great parlay bet. If the +24.5 team covers the point spread, then there’s an increased chance that the game also goes under the posted total of 48.

Finally, you might want to think about learning the correct strategies for buying half-points in football. While many people are against this method, we’re here to tell you that there are some circumstances where buying points can be profitable.

Point Spread Betting in Basketball

Buying half points is a strategy that can work for basketball too. Most online betting sites offer bettors the ability to purchase half-points at 10 cents each. Let’s say the Lakers are -6.5 at odds of -110 for example. Here of some of the options you can expect to see.

Daily Spread Betting Tips For Today

A great strategy for betting basketball point spreads is to shop dozens of betting sites for the best line, and then purchase as many half points as possible (provided they are priced 10 cents each).

When using this strategy, it’s helpful to know the most common margins of victory in NBA basketball and how often they occur.

This information shows us that nearly half the games finish with one of the eight point margins listed, and this isn’t the result of variance. Some margins of victory occur more frequently than others because of end game strategy. The winning team is often found running the clock, while the losing team if often found intentionally fouling.

Free Betting Tip

The key here is to target the point spread five and seven, because these are virtually tied as the most common margins of victory. It’s important to recognize that most betting sites are only willing to sell 2 or 3 half points for 10 cents each, after which point they start charging more. Some sites sell up to four half points at this price though.

To show how this can be exploited, take a point spread of -8.5 at odds of -110. This is a 50/50 proposition. Let’s assume you’ve purchased enough points to move the spread to -6.5 at odds of -150. Now, you’d win instead of lose 6.24% of the time they win by 8, and 6.59% of the time they win by 7. Add these together with the 50% from the original proposition, and we get 62.83%.

Go to our odds converter, and you’ll see that the implied probability of -150 is 60%. This means you need to win 60% of the time to break even. However, our handicapping shows the actual probability of winning is 62.38%.

If we risked $150 to win $100 on this -150 line, 62.38% of the time we would win $100. And 37.62% of the time we would lose $150. This gives us an expected profit of $5.95 for every $150 risked.

Free Betting Tips For Today

If you only make large +EV bets such as the basketball example above, betting sites will limit the amount you’re allowed to wager. It’s not uncommon for online bookmakers to spot a skilled bettor and say, “Okay you can keep wagering here, but the maximum you’re allowed to bet per game is $500.00.”
If you keep betting and winning, they might decrease your limits even further. That’s why we recommend trying to hide the fact that you’re so sharp. By placing some random wagers and occasionally spending some time at their casino, you’ll have a much better chance of staying under the radar.
This is also another good reason for using multiple sites. Since there are so many different reputable betting sites to choose from, it would take you a long time to get limited at every single one of them.